Finlandia U21 vs Polonia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
45.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finlandia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
SCO
2 - 1
FIN
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2008 |
NOR
1 - 0
FIN
67%
19%
14%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
FIN
2 - 1
LTU
57%
23%
21%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
LTU
0 - 1
FIN
36%
25%
39%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
FIN
1 - 0
SVN
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Polonia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
POL
2 - 2
BLR
45%
24%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
POL
2 - 1
SVK
59%
21%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
ENG
0 - 0
POL
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
ESP
3 - 0
POL
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
POL
0 - 1
RUS
39%
23%
38%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |