Finland U21 vs Lithuania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
EST
1 - 0
FIN
13%
20%
67%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
MNE
1 - 2
FIN
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
ALB
0 - 0
FIN
40%
25%
35%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
FIN
6 - 0
ARM
69%
18%
12%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
SWE
3 - 0
FIN
77%
15%
8%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Lithuania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
LVA
1 - 1
LTU
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
DEN
3 - 0
LTU
89%
8%
3%
|
39 | 73 | 34 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
WAL
2 - 1
LTU
74%
17%
9%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
MLT
1 - 2
LTU
36%
23%
41%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
LTU
0 - 1
ISL
9%
18%
73%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | 0 |