Finland U21 vs Lithuania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
EST
0 - 3
FIN
24%
25%
51%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
LTU
1 - 3
FIN
27%
26%
47%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
FIN
3 - 4
LTU
62%
23%
16%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2012 |
SWE
3 - 0
FIN
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
FIN
1 - 2
UKR
24%
26%
50%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lithuania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
LVA
0 - 1
LTU
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
LTU
1 - 3
FIN
27%
26%
47%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
FIN
3 - 4
LTU
62%
23%
16%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2012 |
LTU
1 - 0
UKR
11%
18%
71%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LTU
0 - 4
IRN
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |