Finland U21 vs Lithuania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
LTU
0 - 1
FIN
36%
25%
39%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
FIN
1 - 0
SVN
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
FIN
3 - 2
SCO
40%
25%
35%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
DEN
0 - 1
FIN
79%
13%
7%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
FIN
1 - 5
RUS
20%
21%
59%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Lithuania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
LTU
0 - 3
DEN
15%
21%
65%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
LTU
0 - 1
FIN
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2007 |
SCO
3 - 0
LTU
57%
23%
21%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2007 |
LTU
0 - 0
SVN
38%
26%
37%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
DEN
4 - 0
LTU
80%
13%
7%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | -1 |