Finland U21 vs Netherlands U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
55.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2009 |
POL
2 - 1
FIN
60%
22%
19%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
NED
2 - 0
FIN
70%
20%
10%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
BEL
0 - 0
FIN
67%
20%
14%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2009 |
FIN
0 - 2
ESP
9%
18%
73%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2009 |
GER
2 - 0
FIN
81%
13%
6%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Netherlands U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
NED
2 - 0
FIN
70%
20%
10%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
NED
0 - 0
ENG
38%
27%
36%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2009 |
NED
1 - 1
ITA
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
GER
0 - 4
NED
57%
24%
20%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
NED
0 - 3
SWE
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |