Finlandia U21 vs Bulgaria U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finlandia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
FIN
8 - 3
NOR
18%
22%
61%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
FIN
0 - 2
LTU
63%
23%
15%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
FIN
1 - 2
GEO
45%
26%
30%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
FIN
1 - 3
POL
17%
21%
62%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
DEN
2 - 0
FIN
80%
14%
7%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
NIR
1 - 0
BGR
27%
22%
51%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
LUX
1 - 0
BGR
19%
22%
59%
|
56 | 32 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
SVN
1 - 1
BGR
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
MNE
0 - 0
BGR
28%
23%
50%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
BGR
0 - 1
FRA
8%
15%
77%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | 0 |