Figueirense vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
SAO
3 - 1
FFL
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
FFL
0 - 2
ATP
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2008 |
FFL
0 - 1
FLU
39%
25%
36%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
GRE
1 - 1
FFL
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
SAN
3 - 0
FFL
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
NAU
5 - 2
CRZ
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
COT
0 - 0
NAU
54%
25%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
NAU
1 - 0
VIT
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
SCI
1 - 1
NAU
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
NAU
1 - 1
POR
59%
23%
19%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |