Figueirense vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
FFL
3 - 3
VAS
42%
25%
33%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
GRE
1 - 2
FFL
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
FFL
0 - 2
FLU
43%
26%
32%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
COR
2 - 1
FFL
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
FFL
1 - 0
SAN
29%
26%
45%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
NAU
4 - 0
ARN
76%
16%
9%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
FLU
2 - 1
NAU
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
NAU
1 - 2
SAN
32%
25%
44%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
GRE
4 - 3
NAU
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
NAU
1 - 0
COR
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |