Figueirense vs Metropolitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.9%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.4%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
5.4%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
JEC
1 - 2
FFL
14%
20%
67%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
FFL
4 - 4
GUA
79%
15%
6%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2007 |
NOR
0 - 0
FFL
24%
23%
53%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
MAR
2 - 4
FFL
11%
17%
72%
|
79 | 46 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
FFL
0 - 1
CRI
72%
18%
10%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
MET
1 - 2
HER
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
ECP
0 - 0
MET
34%
24%
43%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
AVA
5 - 1
MET
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
MET
1 - 2
JEC
51%
23%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2007 |
GUA
2 - 1
MET
43%
24%
33%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |