Figueirense vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
7.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
AVA
4 - 0
FFL
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
FFL
0 - 1
CHA
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
FFL
1 - 1
JEC
77%
16%
7%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
CAC
0 - 0
FFL
18%
25%
57%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
FFL
1 - 0
CAC
85%
11%
5%
|
66 | 31 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
CAM
28%
27%
45%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
CRI
0 - 1
MAR
78%
16%
6%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
AVA
10%
20%
70%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
JEC
0 - 0
MAR
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 2
HER
35%
28%
38%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |