Figueirense vs Hercílio Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
6.3%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
JEC
2 - 2
FFL
15%
21%
64%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
FFL
1 - 1
MET
79%
15%
6%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
FFL
1 - 0
AVA
36%
26%
39%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
BRU
1 - 2
FFL
10%
18%
73%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
FFL
2 - 0
TUB
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 1
HER
83%
14%
3%
|
49 | 78 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
HER
0 - 0
JEC
29%
26%
45%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
HER
4 - 0
MET
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
AVA
3 - 0
HER
80%
15%
5%
|
48 | 74 | 26 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
HER
1 - 1
BRU
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |