Figueirense vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2004 |
PAL
0 - 0
FFL
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
FFL
1 - 1
COT
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2004 |
SAO
2 - 1
FFL
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2004 |
FFL
0 - 0
PAR
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2004 |
FFL
2 - 0
CRI
57%
23%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2004 |
FLU
2 - 0
COR
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
ATP
4 - 1
FLU
54%
23%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
FLU
1 - 0
SAN
29%
25%
47%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2004 |
JUV
2 - 1
FLU
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2004 |
FLU
1 - 0
SAO
41%
28%
32%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |