Figueirense vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
39.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
FFL
1 - 1
ATL
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
GRE
4 - 0
FFL
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
FFL
1 - 3
SAN
32%
25%
43%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 1
FFL
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
FFL
0 - 2
FLA
44%
26%
31%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
COT
3 - 2
GRE
46%
25%
30%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
COT
4 - 0
CRZ
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
VAS
2 - 2
COT
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
COT
1 - 2
COR
43%
27%
30%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
ATM
1 - 0
COT
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |