Figueirense vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
24.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
FFL
0 - 0
CRI
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
PRI
2 - 2
FFL
9%
20%
71%
|
77 | 44 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2015 |
MET
0 - 4
FFL
22%
24%
54%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
FFL
2 - 0
JEC
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
INT
1 - 1
FFL
16%
22%
62%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 0
MET
72%
19%
9%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
INT
2 - 5
CHA
10%
22%
68%
|
77 | 37 | 40 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
JEC
0 - 0
CHA
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 0
INT
76%
16%
7%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CRI
1 - 1
CHA
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |