Figueirense vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
23.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 0
FFL
41%
28%
32%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
FFL
1 - 1
CRZ
25%
25%
50%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 0
FFL
59%
25%
17%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
FFL
4 - 0
COT
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ATP
3 - 0
FFL
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
FLA
3 - 0
CHA
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 1
SAN
26%
25%
49%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 0
SAO
28%
26%
47%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ATM
1 - 0
CHA
74%
17%
9%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
BAH
0 - 1
CHA
48%
28%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |