Figueirense vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
POR
3 - 1
FFL
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
FFL
1 - 0
ABC
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
IFC
2 - 2
FFL
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
FFL
0 - 2
SAO
63%
22%
16%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
DUQ
2 - 3
FFL
21%
26%
53%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
CEA
2 - 1
BAH
51%
26%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
VAS
0 - 2
CEA
73%
18%
10%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
CEA
1 - 1
JUV
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
ARN
1 - 5
CEA
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
CEA
1 - 1
PPE
42%
27%
30%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |