Figueirense vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
31.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
FFL
0 - 0
VAS
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
FFL
2 - 0
AVA
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SPO
4 - 1
FFL
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2015 |
AVA
1 - 0
FFL
26%
26%
48%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
JEC
0 - 0
FFL
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
BOT
4 - 1
CRB
75%
17%
8%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
PAY
0 - 1
BOT
19%
26%
55%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2015 |
BOT
3 - 0
CAP
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 2
VAS
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
CAP
1 - 2
BOT
22%
23%
55%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |