FiesoleCal... vs Todi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FiesoleCal...
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
FIE
68%
19%
13%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
FIE
1 - 1
CAS
33%
24%
43%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 1
FIE
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
FIE
0 - 1
PIA
38%
24%
38%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
PIE
2 - 0
FIE
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Todi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
TOD
0 - 1
ARZ
13%
21%
66%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
TOD
0 - 0
PIA
29%
25%
46%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CAS
4 - 0
TOD
67%
19%
14%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
TOD
0 - 3
ASD
45%
25%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
DER
4 - 0
TOD
47%
25%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -2 |