Fidenza vs Gozzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
50.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fidenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
OLG
0 - 2
FID
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
FID
0 - 0
CAR
47%
24%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
SER
1 - 1
FID
70%
18%
12%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FID
1 - 2
PER
41%
25%
35%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
RUD
4 - 0
FID
64%
20%
16%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Gozzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
GOZ
1 - 1
MAP
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
GOZ
1 - 3
PER
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
4 - 2
GOZ
16%
21%
63%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
GOZ
4 - 0
COL
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
STE
2 - 1
GOZ
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |