Fidenza vs US Forcoli 1921 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
19.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fidenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ROM
2 - 1
FID
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
FID
0 - 0
ASL
13%
22%
65%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
COR
2 - 0
FID
74%
17%
9%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
FID
2 - 2
FOR
17%
21%
62%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
MEZ
3 - 2
FID
73%
16%
11%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
US Forcoli 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 1
THE
11%
19%
69%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SAC
0 - 2
FOR
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 1
CAM
21%
25%
55%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
CLO
1 - 1
FOR
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
3 - 0
RIC
30%
26%
44%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |