Fidene vs SN Notaresco 2018 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fidene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
RCA
1 - 2
FID
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ANZ
7 - 3
FID
34%
24%
41%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -3 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
FID
0 - 0
SAL
18%
23%
60%
|
35 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
POM
2 - 0
FID
42%
25%
33%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
FID
1 - 1
BUD
59%
22%
19%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SN Notaresco 2018
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
SSS
31%
25%
43%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
JES
5 - 0
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 1
MIG
62%
21%
18%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
REA
2 - 2
SAN
15%
22%
64%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 2
SAN
54%
22%
24%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |