Fidene vs Recanatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fidene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
VIS
3 - 0
FID
59%
21%
20%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
FID
0 - 0
SSS
25%
24%
51%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
FID
2 - 2
TER
26%
23%
52%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CIT
1 - 2
FID
43%
24%
33%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
FID
0 - 0
FCC
75%
16%
10%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
REC
2 - 3
TER
18%
22%
60%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CIT
2 - 1
REC
41%
26%
33%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
REC
0 - 1
FCC
66%
22%
12%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CIV
1 - 1
REC
60%
24%
16%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
REC
0 - 2
MAC
43%
26%
31%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |