Fidene vs Progetto Sant.Elia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.4%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
7.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fidene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PAL
0 - 0
FID
31%
24%
45%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
FID
1 - 0
SOR
24%
23%
53%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
MON
2 - 1
FID
57%
22%
21%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
FID
0 - 2
CIT
48%
24%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Progetto Sant.Elia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PRO
1 - 3
POM
17%
23%
60%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ANZ
1 - 1
PRO
55%
22%
23%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
PRO
1 - 2
BUD
20%
24%
57%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
POR
3 - 1
PRO
72%
17%
11%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |