Fidene vs Palestrina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fidene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SOR
0 - 2
FID
61%
22%
18%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
FID
1 - 1
MON
53%
23%
23%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CIT
2 - 0
FID
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
FID
4 - 2
ANZ
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
SAL
0 - 0
FID
80%
14%
6%
|
33 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Palestrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PAL
1 - 1
CIT
26%
23%
51%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ANZ
0 - 2
PAL
38%
25%
38%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
PAL
1 - 1
SAL
14%
22%
64%
|
27 | 60 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
PAL
2 - 2
POR
39%
24%
37%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
POM
1 - 3
PAL
66%
20%
14%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |