Fidene vs Maceratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
30.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fidene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ANC
5 - 0
FID
85%
11%
4%
|
28 | 63 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
FID
2 - 4
OLY
33%
23%
44%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
JES
1 - 0
FID
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
FID
2 - 2
SAN
34%
24%
42%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
AST
3 - 1
FID
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Maceratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 3
SSS
27%
24%
49%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
TER
1 - 1
MAC
62%
20%
18%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MAC
5 - 2
CIT
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
FCC
0 - 1
MAC
26%
24%
50%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MAC
1 - 0
CIV
25%
24%
51%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +2 |