Fidene vs Astrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
22.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fidene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 3
FID
24%
24%
52%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
FID
1 - 2
CIV
65%
20%
16%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CYN
0 - 0
FID
32%
25%
43%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FID
2 - 1
ARZ
61%
21%
18%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
BAC
0 - 1
FID
30%
25%
45%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Astrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
AST
2 - 1
CIT
32%
24%
44%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ANZ
1 - 1
AST
36%
25%
39%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
AST
0 - 1
SAL
16%
22%
62%
|
31 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
AST
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
AST
1 - 1
POM
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |