Fidene vs Arzachena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fidene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
BAC
0 - 1
FID
30%
25%
45%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
FID
3 - 2
SEL
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PRO
3 - 0
FID
23%
23%
54%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -3 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
FID
3 - 2
PAL
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SOR
0 - 2
FID
61%
22%
18%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Arzachena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ARZ
3 - 2
CIT
24%
23%
53%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ANZ
5 - 0
ARZ
30%
25%
46%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -3 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ARZ
1 - 2
SAL
13%
21%
66%
|
29 | 60 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
ARZ
52%
24%
25%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ARZ
1 - 1
POM
39%
26%
36%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |