Fidene vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
58.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fidene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
OLY
1 - 2
FID
63%
19%
17%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
FID
0 - 0
JES
43%
24%
33%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
FID
72%
17%
12%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
FID
3 - 3
AST
44%
24%
33%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 1
FID
30%
24%
46%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ANC
1 - 2
CIV
83%
12%
5%
|
61 | 35 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
TER
1 - 3
ANC
22%
26%
53%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
FCC
0 - 0
ANC
12%
21%
67%
|
60 | 22 | 38 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ANC
0 - 3
VIS
84%
12%
5%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
JES
2 - 1
ANC
16%
24%
60%
|
61 | 35 | 26 | 0 |