Fidelis Andria vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
14.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fidelis Andria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
FCC
3 - 0
FIA
30%
28%
43%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
FIA
0 - 0
CAT
28%
30%
43%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
USF
2 - 1
FIA
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
BV5
1 - 1
FIA
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
CAT
2 - 1
FIA
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
PAG
0 - 1
CAS
28%
27%
46%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 1
PAG
63%
23%
14%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
REG
0 - 1
PAG
42%
28%
30%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
PAG
0 - 2
USV
60%
25%
16%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
CAS
4 - 2
PAG
62%
23%
15%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |