Fidelis Andria vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
46.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fidelis Andria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
REG
0 - 0
FIA
21%
25%
54%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
FIA
2 - 1
JUS
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
FON
1 - 2
FIA
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
FIA
1 - 1
FRA
56%
25%
20%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
FIA
1 - 0
MAT
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
LEC
3 - 1
PAG
72%
19%
10%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
MES
0 - 3
LEC
18%
23%
59%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
LEC
0 - 3
MAT
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
TAR
0 - 1
LEC
15%
22%
63%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
JUS
2 - 3
LEC
36%
26%
39%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |