Norden vs US Hostert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
37.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
FFN
0 - 3
ESC
35%
24%
41%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
URE
0 - 1
FFN
27%
23%
51%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
FFN
3 - 2
URE
70%
17%
13%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
AVE
2 - 0
FFN
33%
25%
42%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
FFN
4 - 2
FCR
36%
23%
41%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
US Hostert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
USH
1 - 2
MON
65%
19%
16%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
USH
0 - 1
FCR
54%
21%
25%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
USH
7 - 0
ORA
77%
15%
8%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
MAM
1 - 1
USH
41%
24%
35%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
USH
2 - 4
KAE
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |