Norden vs Obercorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
34.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
USM
3 - 3
FFN
62%
20%
17%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
VIC
3 - 0
FFN
72%
16%
12%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
FFN
1 - 1
FCA
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
MON
0 - 2
FFN
57%
21%
22%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FFN
0 - 2
MAM
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Obercorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
OBE
2 - 2
FCA
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
MON
1 - 1
OBE
45%
22%
33%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
OBE
1 - 0
MAM
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
USS
3 - 2
OBE
64%
18%
17%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
OBE
3 - 4
USH
46%
24%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |