Norden vs Lorentzweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.9%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
75.6%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
HOS
2 - 1
FFN
19%
18%
63%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
FFN
0 - 3
JUS
38%
23%
39%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
COL
2 - 1
FFN
7%
12%
81%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FFN
1 - 0
VIC
10%
15%
75%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FFN
1 - 1
BAS
39%
24%
37%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LOR
3 - 1
RUM
41%
23%
35%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
LOR
0 - 5
ETZ
45%
23%
32%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
JEU
2 - 0
LOR
33%
23%
44%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
OBE
1 - 4
LOR
7%
12%
82%
|
56 | 29 | 27 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LOR
2 - 4
GRE
66%
19%
15%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |