Norden vs Lorentzweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
43.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
TBB
2 - 3
FFN
29%
21%
51%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
FEU
1 - 0
FFN
6%
12%
82%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
HOS
1 - 4
FFN
38%
20%
42%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
FFN
1 - 1
ERP
49%
20%
32%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
FFN
4 - 1
FEU
92%
6%
2%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
ELL
1 - 5
LOR
16%
17%
67%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
ERP
0 - 2
LOR
36%
23%
41%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
BOE
1 - 3
LOR
11%
16%
73%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
KEH
1 - 2
LOR
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
LOR
1 - 1
FCA
44%
24%
33%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |