Norden vs Lorentzweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
46.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
ERP
2 - 1
FFN
46%
22%
32%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
FEU
3 - 3
FFN
9%
14%
77%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
FFN
0 - 4
KEH
58%
21%
21%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
MLI
1 - 4
FFN
49%
23%
28%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
FFN
3 - 2
FCA
45%
23%
32%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
LOR
3 - 2
KEH
41%
24%
35%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
UMM
0 - 9
LOR
6%
10%
84%
|
45 | 10 | 35 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
FCA
1 - 3
LOR
47%
22%
31%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
LOR
1 - 1
ATE
34%
24%
42%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
ALI
1 - 0
LOR
74%
15%
10%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |