Norden vs Erpeldange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
13.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
FFN
3 - 0
BER
66%
18%
16%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FFN
1 - 0
LOR
10%
14%
76%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | +3 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
HOS
2 - 1
FFN
19%
18%
63%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
FFN
0 - 3
JUS
38%
23%
39%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
COL
2 - 1
FFN
7%
12%
81%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | -2 |
Matches
Erpeldange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ERP
1 - 8
USM
7%
14%
80%
|
36 | 64 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
BER
1 - 0
ERP
44%
21%
35%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ERP
2 - 2
DCE
64%
18%
18%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
HOS
4 - 5
ERP
25%
20%
55%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ERP
1 - 0
BWM
16%
19%
65%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +3 |