Norden vs Differdange 03 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.2%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
77.4%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.6%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
UKT
1 - 4
FFN
39%
24%
37%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ERP
3 - 0
FFN
32%
23%
45%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
FFN
2 - 2
SWI
49%
23%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
JEU
0 - 2
FFN
59%
21%
20%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +3 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
COL
1 - 2
FFN
7%
12%
81%
|
48 | 18 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Differdange 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
DIF
5 - 0
UNA
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
FOL
6 - 3
DIF
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
DIF
2 - 1
RAC
71%
17%
12%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
MLI
0 - 3
DIF
8%
14%
78%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
PRO
1 - 0
DIF
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |