Norden vs CS Muhlenbach Lusitanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
8.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
OBE
6 - 0
FFN
41%
25%
34%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
WIL
2 - 2
FFN
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
FFN
2 - 0
KOE
70%
18%
13%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ERP
1 - 2
FFN
55%
22%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
FFN
1 - 1
YBD
62%
20%
18%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CS Muhlenbach Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
CSM
0 - 8
WIL
15%
19%
66%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
KOE
2 - 1
CSM
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CSM
0 - 5
ERP
32%
25%
43%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
YBD
1 - 1
CSM
69%
18%
13%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
CSM
0 - 4
UNA
36%
24%
39%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -2 |