Lillehammer vs Moelven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.4%
Win probability
3.62
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.1%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.6%
4-0
10%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.9%
7.2%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.2%
3.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lillehammer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2014 |
FFL
2 - 0
HAM
85%
9%
5%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
SIL
0 - 1
FFL
17%
19%
65%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2014 |
RFK
1 - 4
FFL
22%
21%
58%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
FFL
10 - 0
SFO
90%
7%
3%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2014 |
GRU
0 - 2
FFL
21%
21%
58%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Moelven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2014 |
GJO
4 - 1
MIL
43%
23%
34%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2014 |
MIL
4 - 4
GRU
25%
22%
53%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
MIL
3 - 4
FVI
15%
18%
68%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2014 |
FFK
2 - 1
MIL
80%
13%
8%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2014 |
MIL
0 - 1
LIL
10%
14%
76%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | 0 |