FF Jaro vs VPS Vaasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
52.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
1º
10º
9º
20
3º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
35 | 45 |
1º
|
52% | |
|
1º
|
37 | 44 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 40 |
3º
|
35.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 38 |
4º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 35 |
5º
|
62% | |
|
|
6º
|
20 | 28 |
6º
|
51.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 27 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 23 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
16 | 21 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 21 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 20 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 19 |
12º
|
33% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
1% | 55.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
99% | 44.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FF Jaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
FFJ
0 - 1
ILV
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
INT
3 - 1
FFJ
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
FFJ
1 - 1
IFK
54%
24%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
HJK
2 - 3
FFJ
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
KOO
3 - 2
FFJ
39%
25%
36%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
VPS Vaasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
VAA
1 - 1
KUO
45%
27%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2025 |
ILV
3 - 2
VAA
41%
25%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
VAA
0 - 2
HJK
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
VAA
1 - 2
HAK
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
OUL
2 - 1
VAA
27%
25%
49%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |