Fezzanese vs Lavagnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
25%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fezzanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
SES
2 - 4
FEZ
29%
23%
49%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
FEZ
1 - 2
FCV
44%
23%
33%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
MPO
1 - 2
FEZ
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
FEZ
1 - 0
ARG
40%
24%
36%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
JMO
0 - 1
FEZ
48%
23%
29%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
LAV
3 - 2
LIG
42%
25%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
LAV
0 - 2
FCV
34%
25%
41%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
SCA
4 - 0
LAV
38%
25%
37%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
LAV
0 - 1
SDT
37%
25%
38%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ASA
2 - 1
LAV
68%
19%
12%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |