Fezzanese vs Lavagnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
58.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+111%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fezzanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
DER
1 - 1
FEZ
52%
23%
25%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FEZ
1 - 1
SES
21%
22%
56%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 2
FEZ
33%
23%
44%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FEZ
2 - 0
SET
31%
24%
46%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
BOR
3 - 1
FEZ
75%
15%
11%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 7
LAV
12%
23%
65%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
LAV
1 - 1
DER
72%
19%
10%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
LAV
51%
25%
24%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
LAV
1 - 0
BOR
66%
21%
14%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PIN
1 - 2
LAV
43%
24%
33%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |