Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 1-5
Feyenoord vs Trenčín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
29.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
GRA
2 - 0
FEY
11%
18%
71%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
TRE
4 - 0
FEY
44%
22%
34%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
PSV
0 - 0
FEY
54%
22%
24%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
LEV
1 - 2
FEY
44%
24%
33%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
FEN
3 - 3
FEY
58%
21%
22%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Trenčín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
ZIL
2 - 3
TRE
48%
22%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
TRE
4 - 0
FEY
44%
22%
34%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
TRE
5 - 1
SER
78%
14%
8%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
TRE
4 - 1
GÓR
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
TRE
1 - 4
RUZ
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |