Feyenoord vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
31.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
82
1º
6º
1º
69
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
67 | 67 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
64 | 64 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 19 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
18 | 18 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
100% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
GRO
0 - 3
FEY
11%
18%
71%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
FEY
3 - 1
ZWO
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
UTR
1 - 1
FEY
19%
22%
59%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
FEY
5 - 0
FCE
79%
14%
8%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
FEY
7 - 4
GAE
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
AJA
0 - 0
TWE
73%
16%
11%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
BOS
0 - 2
AJA
5%
14%
82%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
NEC
1 - 1
AJA
11%
18%
72%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
AJA
5 - 4
VOL
86%
10%
5%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
AJA
0 - 2
BBU
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |