Feyenoord vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
57.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
VVV
2 - 1
FEY
14%
21%
65%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
FEY
3 - 2
TWE
23%
24%
53%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
UTR
2 - 2
FEY
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
FEY
2 - 0
PSV
23%
24%
53%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
RKC
1 - 2
FEY
35%
25%
40%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
AZA
1 - 1
AJA
34%
24%
42%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
AJA
2 - 3
AZA
62%
21%
17%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
AJA
1 - 0
86%
11%
4%
|
89 | 56 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
AJA
4 - 0
ADO
77%
15%
9%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
RKC
0 - 1
AJA
14%
19%
67%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |