Feurs vs Bourgoin-Jallieu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
57.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
6º
13º
9º
51
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
57% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
92% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
92% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 81.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 18.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feurs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FEU
1 - 4
LIM
24%
23%
53%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 0
FEU
80%
14%
7%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FEU
1 - 1
AIX
18%
19%
63%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
RVA
1 - 1
FEU
85%
11%
4%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
FEU
0 - 0
LPV
14%
23%
62%
|
19 | 52 | 33 | +3 |
Matches
Bourgoin-Jallieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BOU
1 - 1
AIX
49%
22%
29%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SAE
0 - 1
BOU
54%
22%
23%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BOU
5 - 0
MON
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
LDU
0 - 4
BOU
32%
24%
45%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
BOU
0 - 4
CHA
39%
25%
36%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |