Feulen vs Swift Hesperange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
71.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feulen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
RLL
2 - 4
FEU
14%
17%
69%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
LAD
2 - 8
FEU
15%
18%
66%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
FEU
3 - 5
ATE
8%
16%
76%
|
18 | 50 | 32 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
WIN
5 - 0
FEU
87%
9%
4%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
FEU
1 - 3
JEU
12%
19%
69%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Swift Hesperange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SWI
3 - 2
USH
39%
24%
37%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ETZ
0 - 1
SWI
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SWI
3 - 0
ESC
33%
24%
43%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MAM
2 - 1
SWI
28%
25%
47%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SWI
4 - 1
FFN
57%
21%
22%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |