Ferrymead Bays vs Nelson Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
53.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferrymead Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
FER
1 - 2
CAS
7%
15%
78%
|
25 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
CHR
4 - 1
FER
55%
20%
24%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
FER
1 - 0
SUF
86%
10%
4%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
NOM
0 - 1
FER
49%
21%
30%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
FER
1 - 4
COA
27%
22%
52%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
NSF
3 - 1
CHR
56%
20%
24%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
SUF
2 - 2
NSF
6%
12%
82%
|
31 | 11 | 20 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
NSF
2 - 3
NOM
70%
16%
14%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
NSF
5 - 2
HAL
90%
7%
3%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
COA
3 - 2
NSF
47%
21%
32%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |