Ferrymead Bays vs Nelson Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
56.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferrymead Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
FER
0 - 0
COA
21%
20%
59%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
FER
3 - 1
CHR
27%
22%
52%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
FER
0 - 3
COA
24%
21%
55%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
CHR
1 - 1
FER
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
FER
3 - 0
SUF
87%
9%
4%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
NSF
1 - 2
CAS
11%
18%
71%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
COA
4 - 2
NSF
43%
22%
35%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
CAS
7 - 0
NSF
88%
9%
4%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
NSF
1 - 1
COA
58%
19%
22%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
NSF
2 - 0
CHR
59%
19%
22%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +2 |