Ferrymead Bays vs Green Island analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
19.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
6º
5º
16
5º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferrymead Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 2
FER
92%
5%
2%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
FER
6 - 1
FCT
87%
9%
4%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
CHR
3 - 0
FER
90%
7%
3%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
NSF
2 - 1
FER
65%
17%
18%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
FER
4 - 1
DUN
28%
22%
51%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Green Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
GIA
3 - 15
CHR
9%
13%
78%
|
18 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GIA
1 - 1
DUN
44%
21%
36%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SUF
1 - 2
GIA
29%
19%
52%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
GIA
1 - 2
NOM
48%
20%
32%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
COA
3 - 2
GIA
60%
19%
21%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |